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稱霸世界的美國- 美支貿易戰CHINA沒有勝算(三十八)~

發言人:中笑, on Dec/09/2018    23:58:38 (IP code: X.X.114.80)
 支那出口驟減了~
呵呵~

支那領導習近平的博士導師表示支那打不起貿易戰
支撐支那出口的廣東省出口大幅下滑
=======================================
應對貿易戰的招數用完 中國11月進出口驟降

2018-12-08 22:30 作者: 李正鑫

(看中國記者李正鑫綜合報導)中國外貿企業為了應對中美貿易戰,在前幾個月抓緊交貨造成出口額創新高。12月8日,中國
出口和進口資料顯示,增速均驟降至個位數且遠遜市場預期。分析人士指出,現在搶出口退潮後經濟疲態盡顯


據中國海關總署12月8日發佈的資料顯示,中國11月以人民幣及美元計價出口同比增幅雙雙低於預期:中國11月出口(以人
民幣計)同比增長10.2%,預期12.6%,前值20.1%;進口增長7.8%,預期17.8%,前值26.3%;中國11月出口(以美
元計)同比增長5.4%,預期9.9%,前值15.6%;進口增長3%,預期14%,前值21.4%。

今年前11個月,中國貨物貿易進出口總值27.88萬億元人民幣。其中,出口14.92萬億元,增長8.2%;進口12.96萬億元,
增長14.6%;貿易順差1.96萬億元,同比收窄21.1%。

另外中國海關總署公佈的資訊顯示,外貿企業中,民營企業所占比重提升。機電產品出口增長較快。原油、天然氣等商品進口
量增加,大宗商品進口價格漲跌互現。

據路透測算,11月美元計價出口增速為今年3月以來最低,進口增速為2016年10月以來最低

據《路透社》12月8日報導,中原銀行首席經濟學家王軍表示,進出口疲態盡顯,進口乏力顯示國內需求回落較明顯,儘管大
宗商品價格大幅調整,但仍未能刺激國內的購買,可見需求端不支撐;出口偏弱既有國際市場需求因素,也與前期搶出口後的
疲弱有關。“未來仍需重視出口形勢的變化,它直接關係到國內就業市場的強弱。”

日前,中國官方公佈的11月製造業採購經理人指數(PMI)已經降至50,創逾兩年低位元,顯示經濟放緩壓力進一步加大,
在美中貿易戰擾亂外需的同時,內需也顯現疲態。工業品價格明顯下滑,令人擔憂中國經濟已經面臨通縮風險
 

Record ID: 1544371118   From: 台灣

回信 發言人:中笑, on Dec/10/2018    00:12:26 (IP code: X.X.114.80)
 》》12月8日,中國出口和進口資料顯示,增速均驟降至個位數且遠遜市場預期。分析人士指出,現在搶出口退潮後經濟疲態盡顯。

支那在G20裡向美國撒謊說要花1.2兆美金買美國產品,來平衡美支的貿易逆差

但想也知道是不可能的,因為支那目前的外匯存底也不過是3.05兆美金,怎麼可能會用1/3的外匯存底去買美國產品?!

所以最快在2019/3/31後,美國將正式與支那翻臉,直接加稅到25%是不可避免的說~

呵呵~
 

Record ID: 1544371118R001   From: 台灣

回信 發言人:中笑, on Dec/10/2018    00:41:00 (IP code: X.X.114.80)
 美支貿易戰

美支外匯、外債篇
支那實際能動用的外匯存底不到十分之一
貿易戰導致支那股市慘跌27%
支那五月份繼續購買美債來替外匯保值
支那二月份繼續購買美債來給自己外匯保值
美國繼續把支那列為匯率操縱國
支那外債2017年底已經超過一兆美元
支那在貿易戰中面臨債務違約
美國不怕支那拋售美元外匯

美支黃豆戰篇
支那鄰國攔截美國黃豆再高價轉賣支那
支那黃豆年底告罄再硬著頭皮跟美國買兩船黃豆
支那用自己人民納稅的錢來繳付自己的黃豆關稅
美國在貿易戰後持續運黃豆前往支那
支那黃豆進口價格上漲
歐盟在支那背後捅一刀趁機收購便宜美國大豆
美國表示根本不怕支那打黃豆牌

美支豬肉戰篇
支那已經撐不住要開始向美國大量進口豬肉
俄國在背後捅支那一刀賣豬瘟肉給支那
支那屠殺瘟豬數量已經超過禁止美豬進口的數量
支那豬瘟已經南下福建到泉州隔壁了
支那養豬飼料發現豬瘟病毒
支那豬瘟已經傳到野豬了

美支科技篇
支那晉華生產因美國制裁而全面停擺
美國制裁晉華並正式司法追殺聯電
美國政府禁止使用支那華為與中興產品
支那中興自己宣稱主要經營活動已無法進行
支那被迫開放可以讓外資持股超過50%
支那中興業務休克生產線停產
美國制裁中興來殺雞警猴

支那內部實情篇
美國將退出萬國郵政聯盟防止支用來作出口產品動作
支那領導習近平的博士導師表示支那打不起貿易戰
支那2018年夏糧歉收物價面臨上漲壓力
支撐支那出口的廣東省出口大幅下滑

美國與盟友和解篇
支那欺騙美國用1.2兆美金買美國產品換取90天延遲加稅關稅
美、加、墨正式簽署USMCA對付支那
美國加入毒丸條款阻止支那與美國盟友締結盟約
歐盟與美國聯手共同應對支那
墨西哥與美國聯手共同應對支那
日本匯率感應度自1965年《廣場協議》以來首次降至0
美、日、歐三經濟實體首次發布聯合聲明將共同應對支那
美國與加拿大達成協議,廢棄NAFTA重組USMCA應對支那
 

Record ID: 1544371118R002   From: 台灣

回信 發言人:中笑, on Dec/10/2018    00:45:34 (IP code: X.X.114.80)
 另一篇板上無名氏的好文

「美支貿易戰」開戰至今結果
 

Record ID: 1544371118R003   From: 台灣

回信 發言人:MIT®, on Dec/10/2018    01:01:02 (IP code: X.X.242.25)
 2025夢靨已死再想還魂幾世紀後再說吧!
川普的高科技技術及智慧產權禁令下達歐美日聯合實施,中國即使有心研發也無力進行因為這要龐大金錢和時間與時俱進水漲船高永遠也跟不上 中國休矣!。
 

Record ID: 1544371118R004   From: 台灣

回信 發言人:IQ87, on Dec/10/2018    06:36:30 (IP code: X.X.205.204)
 "China Predatory Behavior Is Over"

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-12-09/robert-lighthizer-says-march-hard-deadline-us-china-trade-talks

PETER NAVARRO: Well, you raise the perfect point, to be honest. And I think one of the great things about the leadership of Donald Trump is he’s changed completely the narrative on China forever. Up until the time that President Trump took office, we went by this policy of economic engagement thinking that if we simply engaged with China, they would become more democratic and peaceful and more free market oriented. Just the opposite occurred and here we are in this mess. And so we have the Marriott hack, we have the bright light shown on Huawei, which is a very bad actor in the international arena. The other thing, there’s an excellent article in the “Wall Street Journal,” Pulitzer quality, my judgment on the game that China played to invade our export controls on a very sensitive satellite with military technology. These are the kinds of things that China needs to understand that the United States will no longer tolerate. So in terms of anything that happens within the 90 days, we are open and hopeful that a deal will take place but it has to be structural change, verifiable with actual results in order to make this all go. Otherwise we have to defend ourselves as a nation. And President Trump, great leadership on this. He will stand up for the American worker, for American businesses, American farmers against what is well documented Chinese aggression by the Department of Defense and the Secretary of the State and a wonderful speech by Vice President Mike Pence.

[...]

PETER NAVARRO: So two things here. The dinner itself, it was a historic event. I think we have the potential here of doing something much grander than Kissinger and Nixon did many, many decades ago, in terms of bringing China fundamentally into the global economy in a completely different way structurally. But yes, there is skepticism, simply because of China’s past reputation on these matters. So I guess we’ll see what happens. But there’s much at stake here, there’s much at stake here. So it’s really up to the Chinese now. In terms of what we give back, I mean therein lies the rub. President Trump has been eloquent in stating that we are the piggy bank of the world. We’re in all these sorts of one sided bad trade deals and the problem that we have whenever we negotiate with whoever we negotiate is they are getting such a great deal they really don’t want to give us anything. So we are not prepared to give them anything in terms of a deal quid pro quo because we are so much behind the eight ball. We are not steal their technology. We are not forcing the technology transfer. We are not manipulating our currency. We are not counterfeiting and pirating Chinese goods and flooding their markets. We are not having state owned enterprises run rampant around the world, basically exploiting the rest of the world. So what is there for us to give? What we have to give is access to our markets, period. The largest market in the world. Access to our financial markets, our capital markets.

[...]

PETER NAVARRO: So I’m here in Washington not Las Vegas. So I’ll let the markets handicap that. But what I can tell investors is this: this is a historic time. It is critical for the long-term health of the financial markets for the economy to get this right. We had 15 years of China engaging in predatory behavior basically draining over 70,000 factories from America, over 5 million manufacturing jobs. During that time, we had 2% or less growth. We had stagnant wage growth. We had this so called new normal to sin like a Paul upon the world. If we don’t get the China thing right, not just the United States but for the rest of the world we won’t be able to have the next leg of global growth we are looking for. And again that speaks to the leadership of President Donald J. Trump, he sees that vision, he sees that future, he is willing to stand up in order make that happen. And the door is open to China changing. They know what needs to be done. And we hope that they sincerely take actions not to see they will do it, but to actually do it. And it’s all about structural change. It’s not about cash or commodities. It’s structural change.
 

Record ID: 1544371118R005   From: 美國

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